This is probably the best deal of the off season so far as Bedard will be a top of the rotation guy for the Pirates next year almost immediately at a price that is very affordable. When you sit back and think about it Bedard is going to be a better option than Paul Maholm at half the cost.
The thing that really has held Bedard back in his career has been injuries. He hasn’t pitched more than 150 innings since the 2007 season with the Orioles and missed the entire 2010 season due to injuries. When he has pitched in the recent past he has done pretty well. In 2011 with the Mariners and Red Sox he pitched 129.1 innings with a 3.62 ERA and was a 2.4 fWAR and a 2.8 bWAR. That ERA is pretty reliable for Bedard last season as his xFIP was 3.56 so it is right in line where he was. Last year he stranded just under 71% of runners which was actually just below his career average and averaged almost nine strikeouts per nine innings.
Bedard’s best years were as a member of the Orioles in the 2006 and 2007 seasons when he combined to win 26 games and pitched over 180 innings in each season. He struck out almost 11 batters per game in 2007 and registered a 3.16 ERA in that year while combining for a 10.4 fWAR in those two seasons.
Like I said I don’t see much downside to this move as it upgrades the rotation and if he can stay healthy for the whole season this really could be a steal for the Pirates. He is probably looking for a spot where he can boost his numbers and have a good year to go into free agency next season and the Pirates were the team that he could be the top end guy despite his injury woes.
Here are Bedard’s career stats:
|162 Game Avg.||11||10||.528||3.70||34||34||0||0||0||0||194||180||89||80||18||76||189||6||119||1.317||0.8|
|BAL (5 yrs)||40||34||.541||3.83||114||111||0||1||1||0||658.0||627||308||280||58||254||639||22||119||1.339||0.8|
|SEA (3 yrs)||15||14||.517||3.31||46||46||0||0||0||0||255.1||212||108||94||28||101||249||9||124||1.226||1.0|
|BOS (1 yr)||1||2||.333||4.03||8||8||0||0||0||0||38.0||41||22||17||3||18||38||0||106||1.553||0.7|
I mentioned the Moralas signing above. Nothing to see here. Make sure you go and check out what Pat wrote at WHYGAVS about the Pirates picking him up. One of the best reads you will have all month.