Friday, October 17, 2014

Steelers Game 7 Preview - vs. Houston Texans

This is going to be a very abbreviated preview. I am in the process of starting a new job and moving so I have had barely enough time to sleep this week but that doesn't mean the world stops or the Steelers aren't going to be playing football. To say that the Steelers have been underwhelming would be an understatement. Last week they got embarrassed by the Browns and now they are 3-3 to start the season. They seems pretty fitting because they are a largely average team and including last season they are 11-11. Exciting.

The Texans aren't really an overwhelmingly good team, but neither were Tampa Bay and some of the other teams that the Steelers have struggled against. The Texans passing offense is pretty bad but they have a running game led by Arian Foster. The Texans are averaging 22 points per game which is just a touch above the Steelers while the Texans defense has been pretty poor. In terms of DVOA they rank right in the middle of the league against the pass and are getting gashed against the run, ranking 24th.

Here are the numbers for the Houston offense:

Passing

Ryan Fitzpatrick
Completions: 104
Attempts: 160
Completion %: 65%
Yards: 1,268
YPA: 7.9
TD: 6
INT: 6
DVOA: -5.8% (26th)
DYAR: 59 (25th)

Rushing

Arian Foster
Attempts: 106
Yards: 513
Average: 4.8
Touchdowns: 5
DVOA: 7.3% (11th)
DYAR: 66 (7th)
Success Rate: 49% (15th)

Alfred Blue
Attempts: 42
Yards: 165
Average: 3.9
Touchdowns: 0
DVOA: -18.9%
DYAR: -17

Receiving

Andre Johnson
Receptions: 34
Targets: 54
Yards: 419
Average: 12.3
Touchdowns: 1
DVOA: -6.9% (49th)
DYAR: 26 (41st)
Catch Rate: 63%

DeAndre Hopkins
Receptions: 25
Targets: 33
Yards: 366
Average: 14.6
Touchdowns: 3
DVOA: 31.6% (5th)
DYAR: 114 (13th)
Catch Rate: 76%

Damaris Johnson
Receptions: 8
Targets: 14
Yards: 133
Average: 16.6
Touchdowns: 1
DVOA: 9.6%
DYAR: 23
Catch Rate: 57%

Offensive Line
Adjusted Line Yards: 3.75 (23rd)
Power Success: 59% (22nd)
Stuffed %: 19% (19th)

Rushing Frequency:
Left End: 6% (3.34 ALY, 22nd)
Left Tackle: 21% (3.70, 19th)
Middle/Guard: 47% (4.00, 18th)
Right Tackle: 21% (3.25, 26th)
Right End: 6% (4.24, 12th)

Here is a look at the Houston Defense. The Houston defense ranks 15th overall in terms of DVOA at -0.3% while they rank 12th in pass defense (0.8%) and 24th in rushing defense (-1.8%).

Here are some of the statistical leaders for the defense:

Brian Cushing
Total Tackles: 49
Solo Tackles: 30
Sacks: 1.0
Passes Defended: 1
Interceptions: 0

Johnathan Joseph
Total Tackles: 41
Solo Tackles: 38
Sacks: 0
Passes Defended: 3
Interceptions: 0

Kendrick Lewis
Total Tackles: 40
Solo Tackles: 29
Sacks: 0
Passes Defended: 1
Interceptions: 1

Kareem Jackson
Total Tackles: 32
Solo Tackles: 26
Sacks: 0
Passes Defended: 4
Interceptions: 1

J.J. Watt
Total Tackles: 26
Solo Tackles: 17
Sacks: 4.0
Passes Defended: 6
Interceptions: 1

Here is a look at the Texans special teams

Kicking

Randy Bullock
Field Goals Attempted: 11
Field Goals Made: 9
Long: 55
1-19: 0/0
20-29: 2/3
30-39: 2/3
40-49: 3/3
50+: 2/2
Extra Points: 15/15

Punting

Shane Lechler
Punts: 29
Yards: 1,405
Average: 48.4
Long: 71
Inside 20: 8
Touchback: 6
Fair Catch: 5
Average Return Against: 11.8 yards

Returns

Damaris Johnson
Kick Return Attempts: 4
Kick Return Yards: 94
Kick Return Average: 23.5
Kick Return Long: 31
Kick Return TD: 0
Punt Return Attempts: 9
Punt Return Yards: 54
Punt Return Average: 6.0
Punt Return Long: 12
Punt Return TD: 0

Prediction: Steelers 24, Texans 21

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