Friday, November 7, 2014

Steelers Game 10 Preview - @ New York Jets

The Steelers are coming off a huge win over the Ravens and they go from a big rivalry game to a game against a 1-8 team. To put it bluntly the Jets are not a good football team. They are a team the Steelers should beat and in the past games like this are always tough. The Steelers have lost to much worse teams.

If the Steelers want to be considered a good football team they need to win this football game. They need to win it convincingly. The Jets are a mess right now, even more than usual, and with the way the Steelers are playing there is no reason they shouldn't win by more than a score. Then again who knows what happens.

Lets look at the Jets.

Here are the numbers for the Jets offense:

The Jets offense ranks 28th in the league with an overall DVOA of -17.3% that includes a passing game that is ranked 30th in the league (-24.8% DVOA) while the rushing game ranks 11th (-0.7% DVOA)

Passing

Michael Vick
Completions: 47
Attempts: 84
Completion %: 56%
Yards: 396
YPA: 4.7
TD: 1
INT: 1
DVOA: -37.3%
DYAR: -157
QBR: 19.8

Rushing

Chris Ivory
Attempts: 109
Yards: 497
Average: 4.6
Touchdowns: 5
DVOA: 10.0% (11th)
DYAR: 89 (11th)
Success Rate: 50% (13th)

Chris Johnson
Attempts: 78
Yards: 337
Average: 4.3
Touchdowns: 1
DVOA: -4.8% (26th)
DYAR: 12 (27th)
Success Rate: 45% (27th)

Receiving

Eric Decker
Receptions: 40
Targets: 66
Yards: 426
Average: 10.7
Touchdowns: 4
DVOA: 0.6% (37th)
DYAR: 67 (32nd)
Catch Rate: 63%

Jace Amaro
Receptions: 32
Targets: 39
Yards: 285
Average: 8.9
Touchdowns: 1
DVOA: 2.4% (20th among TE)
DYAR: 24 (19th among TE)
Catch Rate: 82%

Jeremy Kerley
Receptions: 26
Targets: 54
Yards: 237
Average: 9.1
Touchdowns: 1
DVOA: -33.7% (73rd)
DYAR: -89 (74th)
Catch Rate: 48%

Offensive Line
Adjusted Line Yards: 4.25 (7th)
Power Success: 83% (5th)
Stuffed %: 16% (4th)

Rushing Frequency:
Left End: 10% (2.44 ALY, 29th)
Left Tackle: 11% (4.81 ALY, 3rd)
Middle/Guard: 55% (4.43 ALY, 7th)
Right Tackle: 14% (3.76 ALY, 23rd)
Right End: 11% (5.04 ALY, 4th)

Here is a look at the Jets Defense. They rank 20th overall in terms of DVOA at -3.1% while they rank 27th in pass defense (19.9%) and 9th in rushing defense (-18.5%).

Here are some of the statistical leaders for the defense:

David Harris
Total Tackles: 68
Solo Tackles: 39
Sacks: 2.0
Passes Defended: 0
Interceptions: 0

Dawan Landry
Total Tackles: 66
Solo Tackles: 40
Sacks: 1.5
Passes Defended: 1
Interceptions: 0

Muhammad Wilkerson
Total Tackles: 43
Solo Tackles: 24
Sacks: 4.5
Passes Defended: 3
Interceptions: 0

Calvin Pace
Total Tackles: 25
Solo Tackles: 18
Sacks: 4.0
Passes Defended: 1
Interceptions: 0

Sheldon Richardson
Total Tackles: 44
Solo Tackles: 26
Sacks: 3.5
Passes Defended: 1
Interceptions: 0

Here is a look at the Jets special teams

Kicking

Nick Folk
Field Goals Attempted: 15
Field Goals Made: 16
Long: 55
1-19: 0-0
20-29: 5-5
30-39: 2-2
40-49: 6-6
50+: 2-3
Extra Points: 13-13

Punting

Ryan Quigley
Punts: 45
Yards: 2,139
Average: 47.5
Long: 64
Inside 20: 12
Touchback: 4
Fair Catch: 15
Average Return Against: 9.9

Returns

Sam Hakim
Kick Return Attempts: 13
Kick Return Yards: 279
Kick Return Average: 21.5
Kick Return Long: 44
Kick Return TD: 0

Walt Powell
Punt Return Attempts: 12
Punt Return Yards: 48
Punt Return Average: 4.0
Punt Return Long: 15
Punt Return TD: 0

Prediction: Steelers 23, Ravens 20

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