Saturday, November 29, 2014

Steelers Game 12 Preview - vs. New Orleans Saints

The Steelers are coming off a bye week in a division that is as close as any in football. Every team in the AFC North has seven wins and it is going to be a sprint to the finish starting this week. The Saints are coming into town and in years past that would have been a terrifying thing. That isn't to say they aren't a good team, in some respects, but they have struggled in a huge way.

While the Steelers are in a stacked division the Saints are part of just a brutal NFC South where the Atlanta Falcons are tied with the Saints for the division lead with a 4-7 record. Woof. Tampa Bay is only two games out of the division lead and they are just awful. The Saints are a weird team because they continue to have an outstanding offense but the defense has just been dreadful this year. It is fun to see that defense become awful if only because Rob Ryan is the leader of it.

Should be an interesting game.

Lets look at the Saints.

Here are the numbers for the Saints offense:

The Saints offense ranks 6th in the league with an overall DVOA of 14.1% that includes a passing game that is ranked 8th in the league (27.8% DVOA) while the rushing game ranks 9th (1.3% DVOA)

Passing

Drew Brees
Completions: 325
Attempts: 462
Completion %: 70.3%
Yards: 3,491
YPA: 7.6
TD: 22
INT: 11
DVOA: 20.6% (6th)
DYAR: 1,009 (3rd)
QBR: 72.8 (6th)

Rushing

Mark Ingram
Attempts: 149
Yards: 645
Average: 4.3
Touchdowns: 6
DVOA: 3.4% (16th)
DYAR: 78 (15th)
Success Rate: 53% (6th)

Receiving

Jimmy Graham
Receptions: 65
Targets: 87
Yards: 670
Average: 10.3
Touchdowns: 9
DVOA: 22.6% (8th among TE)
DYAR: 184 (2nd among TE)
Catch Rate: 74%

Marques Colston
Receptions: 38
Targets: 64
Yards: 618
Average: 16.3
Touchdowns: 2
DVOA:
DYAR:
Catch Rate:

Kenny Stills
Receptions: 39
Targets: 51
Yards:  529
Average: 13.6
Touchdowns: 2
DVOA: 25.9% (7th)
DYAR: 157 (17th)
Catch Rate: 76%

Offensive Line
Adjusted Line Yards: 4.43 (2nd)
Power Success: 82% (4th)
Stuffed %: 16% (5th)

Rushing Frequency:
Left End: 17% (4.50 ALY, 8th)
Left Tackle: 15% (4.26 ALY, 9th)
Middle/Guard: 40% (4.77 ALY, 1st)
Right Tackle: 18% (4.49 ALY, 7th)
Right End: 10% (3.14 ALY, 23rd)

Here is a look at the Saints Defense. They rank 31st overall in terms of DVOA at 14.1% while they rank 30th in pass defense (23.1%) and 31st in rushing defense (3.9%).

Here are some of the statistical leaders for the defense:

Curtis Lofton
Total Tackles: 100
Solo Tackles: 69
Sacks: 0.0
Passes Defended: 1
Interceptions: 0

Rafael Bush
Total Tackles: 55
Solo Tackles: 44
Sacks: 0.0
Passes Defended: 3
Interceptions: 0

Junior Galette
Total Tackles: 35
Solo Tackles: 25
Sacks: 7.0
Passes Defended: 2
Interceptions: 0

Cameron Jordan
Total Tackles: 33
Solo Tackles: 25
Sacks: 5.0
Passes Defended: 3
Interceptions: 0

Corey White
Total Tackles: 45
Solo Tackles: 42
Sacks: 1.0
Passes Defended: 6
Interceptions: 2

Here is a look at the Saints special teams

Kicking

Shayne Graham
Field Goals Attempted: 18
Field Goals Made: 17
Long: 50
1-19: 0-0
20-29: 5-5
30-39: 8-8
40-49: 3-4
50+: 1-1
Extra Points: 31-32

Punting

Thomas Morstead
Punts: 35
Yards: 1,606
Average: 45.9
Long: 61
Inside 20: 13
Touchback: 3
Fair Catch: 9
Average Return Against: 2.9

Returns

Travaris Cadet
Kick Return Attempts: 11
Kick Return Yards: 261
Kick Return Average: 23.7
Kick Return Long: 34
Kick Return TD: 0

Brandin Cooks
Punt Return Attempts: 10
Punt Return Yards: 35
Punt Return Average: 3.5
Punt Return Long: 15
Punt Return TD: 0

Prediction: Saints 34, Steelers 27

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